TEM Shareholder/Stockholder Letter Transcript:
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Dear Shareholders,
This is our second shareholder letter as a public company. The first outlined how we expected
to behave as a public company and what you as shareholders could expect from us in return.
I struggled writing this second letter. We provide detailed overviews of the business each
quarter, which go into depth on how we are performing, including key operational and financial
metrics.
So, given that we discuss the business every quarter, what s the purpose of writing a
shareholder letter?
Then it hit me. To discuss the stock.
So that s what I m going to do. This letter will have virtually nothing to do with the business
and how it is performing and everything to with the stock and how it is performing. To the
extent my thoughts on that topic are interesting, keep reading. If not, this is a good time to flip
the page.
TEM s stock closed at $59.05 per share on December 31, 2025, and was up approximately
75% for the year, which implied a market cap of ~$10.3 billion at year end.
Given that we went public in June of 2024 at $37.00 per share and closed 2024 at $33.76 per
share, the appreciation was meaningful, especially on a percentage basis. This might lead one
to think we feel good about the stock performance last year, which is only semi accurate.
It's nice that the stock was up approximately 75% in 2025. Those types of gains are always
meaningful, especially when the NASDAQ Composite was up approximately 20% and the S&P
500 climbed approximately 16% in 2025.
But context is important, and when we put Tempus into context, I feel less good about how the
stock performed in 2025 and how it's performing as of late.
The Challenge of Categorization
While diagnostics are foundational to our mission, they are the starting point, not the
destination. Tempus operates at the unique intersection of two distinct investment universes:
Healthcare (Next-Generation Sequencing) and Technology (AI-driven data platforms).
We have observed a persistent "knowledge gap" in the marketplace. Healthcare investors
often view our data business with skepticism, while technology investors are frequently
deterred by the complexities of the diagnostic regulatory landscape. This creates a form of
analytical paralysis.
We re not the first company to deal with this. Historically, the market struggled to value
Amazon s cloud infrastructure through a retail lens or Tesla s software and energy investments
through an automotive lens. Innovation that spans multiple business models is often mispriced
as "complexity risk" rather than valued as a competitive advantage. That is, until the
businesses reach a certain scale at which point it often flips and investor enthusiasm can turn
euphoric.
Addressing the Valuation Disconnect
As a result of this misunderstanding, Tempus trades at a significant discount to its peers in
both categories:
In Diagnostics: At year-end 2025, Tempus traded at ~7x 2026 revenue, compared to
~9x and ~10x 2026 revenue for Guardant and Natera, respectively. This discount
persists despite the fact that our analysts projected five-year revenue growth rate
surpasses the peer average.
In Data and AI: Pure-play AI and proprietary data companies frequently command
multiples of 10x to 20x forward revenue. If we apply even the midpoint of that range to
our Data & Applications business alone, the implied valuation would exceed $10 billion,
a figure nearly matching the market capitalization of our entire company at year end.
So I think it's fair to say we trade at a discount to the best NGS diagnostic companies and a
discount to comparable AI data companies. From my perspective, I think that discount is not
small. If diagnostic investors could invest in only our sequencing business and technology
investors could invest in only our data business, it s quite possible our market cap could more
than double.
Ok. So we think our stock is significantly undervalued. What do we do about it?
Unfortunately, there s no magic bullet, but here s our approach:
1. Keep executing. As Benjamin Graham famously said, In the short run, the market is a
voting machine, but in the long run, it s a weighing machine.
2. Keep telling our story to investors. We have to bear responsibility for the fact that our
story, and the strength of our business, is misunderstood.
3. Take action to advance the long term proprietary advantage of each business. When
you have two great businesses, as we do, you have to make sure both are nurtured.
To the extent #3 requires us to be bold, expect that we will be.
As Shareholders you should expect nothing less.
Eric Lefkofsky
CEO, Tempus
4/7/2026 Letter Continued (Full PDF)